Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
