Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Oct 11, 2020 at 8pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos2 - 1Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Gremio |
| 41.01% | 27.46% | 31.53% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% | 56.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.76% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% | 27.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.34% | 62.66% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% | 33.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.27% | 69.73% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 41%
Gremio 31.53%
Draw 27.46%
| Santos | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.53% |
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2018 11pm
