Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos0 - 2Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Santos
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Fortaleza 6-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, November 9 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, November 9 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Fortaleza |
51.1% ( 0.02) | 25.12% ( -0.04) | 23.78% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.16) | 52.22% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( 0.14) | 73.93% ( -0.14) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.07) | 20.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.11) | 52.9% ( -0.12) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.1) | 36.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.32% ( 0.1) | 73.68% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 51.09%
Fortaleza 23.78%
Draw 25.12%
| Santos | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.09% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.78% |
Form Guide
