Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos2 - 0Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Ceara | 18 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Santos | 17 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Goias | 17 | -3 | 21 |
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Goias | 17 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Botafogo | 17 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Avai | 18 | -9 | 21 |
We said: Santos 2-1 Botafogo
Although only one point separates them in the league, Santos have won three of their last four meetings with Botafogo, and we think they will clinch another victory over them on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Botafogo |
54.94% ( -0.26) | 25.21% ( 0.1) | 19.85% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.58% ( -0.18) | 56.42% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.57% ( -0.14) | 77.43% ( 0.14) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% ( -0.18) | 20.54% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.94% ( -0.28) | 53.06% ( 0.28) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.77% ( 0.08) | 43.23% ( -0.08) |