We say: Santos 1-2 Deportivo Tachira
The fixture last time proved to be closely contested, and that is something that will no doubt be the case again as both teams aim to progress into the next round.
Santos have struggled for form in all competitions as of late, and that lack of confidence is something that could prove to be their downfall here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.