Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.