Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Sport

Calleri (50'), Sara (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oliveira (41')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Sport Recife, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Sport Recife

These are the two lowest-scoring sides in the Brasileiro Serie A who have both lacked quality in attack, so this could be a tough match to call, but we are going with Sao Paulo because they have been solid at home while Recife rarely generate a lot offensively on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Sport Recife
60.85%	24.24%	14.91%

Both teams to score 39.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.51%

59.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.15%

79.85%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56%

19.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72%

51.28%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.65%

51.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.42%

85.58%

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 60.85%

Sport Recife 14.91%

Draw 24.23%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 16.35% 2-0 @ 13.39% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.85%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 2.97% Other @ 0.39% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.65% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 2.22% Other @ 2.41% Total : 14.91%