Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.