Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Recife would win this match.