Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco2 - 0Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Atletico GO
Wednesday, August 7 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, August 7 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Juventude
Thursday, August 8 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, August 8 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fluminense |
39.88% ( 0.01) | 27.87% ( 0.05) | 32.25% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( -0.17) | 58.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( -0.14) | 78.82% ( 0.14) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.08) | 28.5% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.72% ( -0.1) | 64.27% ( 0.1) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( -0.13) | 33.31% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.07% ( -0.14) | 69.93% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 39.87%
Fluminense 32.25%
Draw 27.87%
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.25% |
Form Guide
