Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza1 - 0Fluminense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, July 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Internacional
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Fluminense
While the draw last week would have been a welcome point for Fluminense following a torrid run of results, they were far from convincing in the match and did not do enough to suggest a complete turnaround in form is to be expected right away. Fortaleza have been excellent at home so far this season and are on a five-match winning streak in all competitions. We feel they will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Fluminense |
55.03% ( -1.95) | 24.2% ( 0.15) | 20.77% ( 1.79) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 2.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
