Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Gremio1 - 0Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Gremio 1-1 Vasco da Gama
Last year's runners-up have had a dispiriting season but Gaucho's side have found some form on their turf lately, and that should stand the hosts in good stead this weekend when they host a team that could fall back into old habits after losing to Mineiro last weekend. The spoils could be shared with neither side taking significant risks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
53.3% ( 0.07) | 25.13% ( -0.03) | 21.57% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
