Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco4 - 2Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Fluminense |
39.09% ( 0.01) | 26.38% ( -0.01) | 34.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
