MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 22:36:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena MRV
Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 0
Vasco

Hulk (27', 39')
Alonso (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Moura (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Vasco
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Vasco da Gama

With Milito's men dealing with absences in defence, Sunday's outcome depends on how swiftly the hosts adapt to the Argentine's changes. We are backing the away side to nick a point at Arena MRV to extend their undefeated run against Mineiro to four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
51.69% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.61% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 23.69% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.66% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.101 0.1)50.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.09 0.09)72.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)19.43% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (0.029000000000003 0.03)51.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.11199999999999 0.11)35.88% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.116 0.12)72.66% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 51.69%
    Vasco da Gama 23.69%
    Draw 24.61%
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.69%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.69%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco

Atletico Mineiro
42.3%
Draw
15.4%
Vasco da Gama
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Vasco
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Serginho (5')
Paulinho (44'), Praxedes (54'), Serginho (57'), Dias (79'), Medel (89'), Pele (90+3')

Battaglia (45+4'), Jemerson (61'), Saravia (65')
Apr 16, 2023 1am
Jan 24, 2021 12am
Gameweek 32
Vasco
3-2
Atletico Mineiro
Lopes (89')
Oct 5, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 13
Atletico Mineiro
4-1
Vasco
Borrero (72'), Alonso (87')
Benitez (78')
Oct 2, 2019 11.15pm
Gameweek 21
Atletico Mineiro
1-2
Vasco
Otero (60')
Cazares (39'), Nathan (53'), Patric (66')
Rossi (67' pen.), Junior (93')
Andrey (5'), Raul (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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