Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
VfL Bochum0 - 3Dusseldorf
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 19 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
We said: VfL Bochum 2-2 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Goals are to be expected in this contest, as both sides have looked strong going forward as well as vulnerable at the back, particularly the hosts in recent weeks. The momentum is with Dusseldorf heading into Thursday's match, but there is little to separate these two teams so an entertaining draw could be played out on this occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 35.58% | 23.03% | 41.39% |
| Both teams to score 64.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
