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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
51.77% ( -0.11) | 22.93% ( -0.04) | 25.3% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.93% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.53% ( 0.34) | 41.47% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.13% ( 0.34) | 63.87% ( -0.34) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( 0.08) | 16.1% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.49% ( 0.15) | 45.51% ( -0.15) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% ( 0.3) | 29.76% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.17% ( 0.36) | 65.83% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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