Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Wind (43')
Bornauw (37'), Tomas (53'), Paredes (68'), Vranckx (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Osterhage (12'), Antwi-Adjej (86'), Stoger (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 2-1 VfL Bochum

Admittedly, this one is close to call as Wolfsburg are not pulling up trees on their turf, while Bochum's wretched road record leaves much to be desired. However, we are backing the Wolves to end an extended wait for success at Volkswagen Arena, having secured eight home wins over this weekend's visitors in nine matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
51.77% ( -0.11)	22.93% ( -0.04)	25.3% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 58.93% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.53% (

0.34)

41.47% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

0.34)

63.87% (

-0.34)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

0.08)

16.1% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.49% (

0.15)

45.51% (

-0.15)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24% (

0.3)

29.76% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17% (

0.36)

65.83% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 51.77%

VfL Bochum 25.3%

Draw 22.92%

Wolfsburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 51.77%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.3%