Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
