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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
35.94% | 25.63% | 38.42% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% | 48.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.3% | 70.7% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% | 26.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% | 61.3% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% | 59.42% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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