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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Mainz 05 |
25.15% | 26.5% | 48.34% |
Both teams to score 47.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.66% | 56.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.63% | 77.36% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% | 37.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% | 74.69% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% | 23.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% | 57.31% |
Score Analysis |
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.15% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 12.88% 0-2 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-3 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |