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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Mainz logo

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Laursen (42')
Andrade (52'), Prietl (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jae-sung (25'), Burkardt (69')
Kohr (58'), Hack (77'), Bell (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawMainz 05
25.15%26.5%48.34%
Both teams to score 47.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66%56.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63%77.36%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07%37.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3%74.69%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65%23.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69%57.31%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 25.15%
    Mainz 05 48.34%
    Draw 26.49%
Arminia BielefeldDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.15%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 12.88%
0-2 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-3 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 48.34%

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz 05

Arminia Bielefeld
20.5%
Draw
15.4%
Mainz 05
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Mainz
3-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Burkardt (53'), Onisiwo (59'), Ingvartsen (114')
Svensson (13'), Caricol (83')
Okugawa (2'), Klos (89')
Prietl (20'), Schopf (38'), Pieper (48'), Ramos (99')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Brosinski (56' pen.)
Bell (13'), Latza (73'), Barreiro (80'), Hack (90+4')
Voglsammer (76')
Lucoqui (14')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Mainz
Prietl (21'), Doan (31')
Schipplock (74'), Hartel (85'), Kunze (90+4')
Stoger (82')
Niakhate (49'), St Juste (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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