Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 051 - 2Union Berlin
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 35.06% | 27.71% | 37.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
