Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%).