Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 052 - 3Borussia M'bach
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 25.04% | 23.04% | 51.92% |
| Both teams to score 58.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
