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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Heidenheim

Mainz
0 - 2
Heidenheim


Hanche-Olsen (6'), Jenz (49'), Kohr (61')
Hanche-Olsen (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pieringer (15'), Schoppner (86')
Traore (48'), Mainka (49'), Gimber (56'), Pieringer (77')
Dorsch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Heidenheim

 Only Werder Bremen have taken fewer shots than either of these teams this season; however, only Bayern Munich have a better conversion rate than Heidenheim, and Mainz are not much further behind. Therefore, goals should be guaranteed in a game between two well-matched sides, with the spoils being shared at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
51.21% (0.118 0.12) 23.93% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 24.86% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.29 -0.29)46.33% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (-0.274 -0.27)68.62% (0.27499999999999 0.27)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)18.11% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.109 -0.11)49.05% (0.11 0.11)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)32.72% (0.285 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.72% (-0.32 -0.32)69.28% (0.32000000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 51.21%
    Heidenheim 24.86%
    Draw 23.93%
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 51.21%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim

Mainz 05
40.5%
Draw
35.1%
Heidenheim
24.3%
37
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
1-1
Mainz
Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')
Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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