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Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Dortmund logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Heidenheim

Dortmund
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Malen (12'), Adeyemi (17', 41'), Can (90+3' pen.)
Bynoe-Gittens (82'), Couto (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Pieringer (39'), Breunig (74' pen.)
Wanner (63'), Kaufmann (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Heidenheim

Although Heidenheim have made an exceptional start to the 2024-25 season, they have played two physically taxing European games. Considering this, it would not be a surprise if Dortmund were the more energised side on Friday and managed to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
56.55% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 22.29% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 21.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.82% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.86% (-0.145 -0.15)43.14% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.46% (-0.142 -0.14)65.54% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)15.07% (0.074 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.41% (-0.146 -0.15)43.58% (0.14 0.14)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)34.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)70.97% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 56.55%
    Heidenheim 21.15%
    Draw 22.28%
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 56.55%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.15%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund
66.0%
Draw
21.2%
Heidenheim
12.7%
259
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heidenheim
0-0
Dortmund
Maatsen (80'), Malen (90+5')
Sep 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
2-2
Heidenheim
Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')
Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern64202071314
2RB Leipzig642092714
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt6411149513
4Freiburg640297212
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen63211612411
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin632164211
7Borussia DortmundDortmund63121211110
8Stuttgart6231151149
9Heidenheim630310829
10Mainz 05Mainz6222111018
11Werder Bremen6222812-48
12Wolfsburg6213131217
13Augsburg6213915-67
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
15St Pauli611449-54
16Hoffenheim61141016-64
17Holstein Kiel6024919-102
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum6015614-81


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