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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
54.76% ( 1.02) | 22.61% ( -0.22) | 22.62% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.18% ( 0.11) | 42.81% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( 0.11) | 65.21% ( -0.11) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( 0.39) | 15.55% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.51% ( 0.72) | 44.48% ( -0.72) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.65) | 32.73% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.73) | 69.29% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.76% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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