Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
FC Koln

Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Koln

Whilst Koln's recent form - and season as a whole - has been very impressive, the hosts appear to have rediscovered their mojo under the tutelage of Tedesco. They also have an enviable home record and, on this occasion, the visitors may find that they cannot quite match up to the talent in the Leipzig squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	FC Koln
65.23%	18.95%	15.82%

Both teams to score 57.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.6%

36.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.46%

58.53%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.53%

10.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.9%

34.1%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.97%

36.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.19%

72.81%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 65.23%

FC Koln 15.82%

Draw 18.95%

RB Leipzig	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 7.38% 3-0 @ 7.23% 4-1 @ 4.16% 4-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.23%	1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.95%	1-2 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.82%