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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Bayern logo

FC Koln
0 - 4
Bayern


Kilian (9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Bayern Munich

As mentioned above, Bayern tend to return to their best after a setback, so despite the hosts being in excellent form overall, particularly at home, we fully expect the champions to win on Saturday. Koln will look to frustrate the visitors and will likely put in another hard-fought display, but Bayern should have far too much quality for them with many of their players returning. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
17.91%18.53%63.55%
Both teams to score 63.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.78%30.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.55%51.45%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19%29.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11%65.89%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87%9.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.01%30.99%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 17.91%
    Bayern Munich 63.55%
    Draw 18.53%
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.77%
1-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.3%
2-0 @ 1.99%
3-1 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 17.91%
1-1 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 2.72%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.53%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 7.53%
0-1 @ 6.52%
0-3 @ 6.22%
2-3 @ 4.56%
1-4 @ 4.51%
0-4 @ 3.72%
2-4 @ 2.73%
1-5 @ 2.16%
0-5 @ 1.78%
2-5 @ 1.31%
3-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 63.55%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Bayern

FC Koln
14.9%
Draw
9.6%
Bayern Munich
75.4%
114
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
5-1
FC Koln
Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')
Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Drexler (82')
Wolf (89')
Muller (13' pen.), Gnabry (45+1')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (10'), Pavard (23')
Feb 16, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
FC Koln
1-4
Bayern
Uth (70')
Bornauw (78')
Lewandowski (3'), Coman (5'), Gnabry (12', 66')
Boateng (28'), Alcantara (49'), Pavard (82')
Sep 21, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
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Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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