Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 0
Freiburg

Modeste (23')
Thielmann (65'), Ljubicic (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Woo-yeong (81'), Hofler (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

These two sides head into their clash with very similar styles and similar success so far this campaign, with both being so well organised and difficult to beat. As a result, we are predicting for these sides to finish as they did in September, with a 1-1 draw to share the points in an evenly-matched encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Freiburg
47.09%	23.77%	29.14%

Both teams to score 59.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6%

42.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.19%

64.8%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79%

18.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.78%

49.21%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55%

27.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06%

62.93%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 47.09%

Freiburg 29.14%

Draw 23.76%

FC Koln	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.09%	1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 7.11% 0-1 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.14%