Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln1 - 0Stuttgart
We said: FC Koln 2-0 Stuttgart
We are predicting Koln to continue their fine home form by recording a solid win to cap off a successful start to the season for them, whilst piling more misery on their struggling hosts. The visitors remain without a number of players and it has hampered them for much of this campaign so far, so it is difficult to see them picking up any points against a strong Koln side on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 55.9% | 22.02% | 22.07% |
| Both teams to score 58.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
