Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djoliba win with a probability of 36.75%. A draw had a probability of 33.3% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 29.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djoliba win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 2-1 (6.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.28%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (14.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.