Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galaxy win with a probability of 75.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for African Stars had a probability of 7.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galaxy win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.18%) and 3-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an African Stars win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galaxy would win this match.