MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:33:31| >> :60:3419:3419:
Ajax
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Dortmund logo

Ajax
4 - 0
Dortmund

Reus (11' og.), Blind (25'), Antony (57'), Haller (72')
Alvarez (33'), Maduro (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Witsel (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Ajax and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 3-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawBorussia Dortmund
53.81%18.04%28.16%
Both teams to score 80.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
84.82%15.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
69.1%30.9%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.39%6.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.43%24.57%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31%13.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08%40.92%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 53.81%
    Borussia Dortmund 28.16%
    Draw 18.04%
AjaxDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 5.98%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-2 @ 4.06%
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.03%
4-3 @ 2.69%
1-0 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.05%
5-3 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.12%
6-1 @ 1.01%
6-2 @ 1%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 53.81%
2-2 @ 6.6%
1-1 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 3.96%
4-4 @ 1.34%
0-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-4 @ 2.18%
3-4 @ 1.97%
0-1 @ 1.8%
0-2 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Ajax vs Dortmund

Ajax
41.2%
Draw
14.9%
Borussia Dortmund
43.9%
478
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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