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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
58.8% | 22.44% | 18.75% |
Both teams to score 51.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% | 47.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.32% | 15.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.26% | 44.74% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% | 39.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.22% | 75.78% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.8% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 1% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |