B. Leverkusen

5 - 0

Salzburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.