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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
14.37% ( 0.02) | 18.21% ( 0.03) | 67.41% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.01% ( -0.09) | 35.99% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.91% ( -0.09) | 58.09% ( 0.09) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% ( -0.03) | 37.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( -0.03) | 74.42% ( 0.02) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.17% ( -0.04) | 9.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.38% ( -0.08) | 32.61% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.37% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.22% | 0-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 67.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |