MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:54:44| >> :120:4741:4741:
Leverkusen logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Milan logo

B. Leverkusen
vs.
AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 AC Milan

While Leverkusen have only failed to score in two of their last 60 matches, Milan's defence is dubious and can be caught out by teams with sufficient quality to punish them. The Italian giants are set to start their campaign with back-to-back defeats, leaving them with some catching up to do later on in the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 22.31% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.44%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAC Milan
56.57% (0.479 0.48) 21.12% (-0.234 -0.23) 22.31% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.68% (0.516 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.82700000000001 0.83)36.2% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.68% (0.9 0.9)58.32% (-0.897 -0.9)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (0.41200000000001 0.41)12.75% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (0.843 0.84)39% (-0.841 -0.84)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.259 0.26)29.31% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.317 0.32)65.28% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.58%
    AC Milan 22.31%
    Draw 21.12%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.31%

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between B. Leverkusen and AC Milan?

Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
AC Milan
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
AC Milan
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
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Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
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49ers
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9.25pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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