B. Leverkusen1 - 0AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
for
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
for
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 AC Milan
While Leverkusen have only failed to score in two of their last 60 matches, Milan's defence is dubious and can be caught out by teams with sufficient quality to punish them. The Italian giants are set to start their campaign with back-to-back defeats, leaving them with some catching up to do later on in the league phase. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | AC Milan |
56.65% ( 0.07) | 21.11% ( -0.01) | 22.24% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
