MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 19:07:05| >> :120:57781:57781:
Brest logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Leverkusen logo

Brest
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Lees-Melou (39')
Salah (84'), Lees-Melou (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wirtz (24')
Frimpong (72'), Wirtz (74'), Alonso (79'), Tah (90+2'), Xhaka (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Brest and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, October 19 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Brest 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Despite keeping successive clean sheets in Europe, Leverkusen have conceded 13 goals in their first seven league games, while Brest have already proven their potential on the counter-attack. Les Pirates could breach their visitors' defence, then, but Xabi Alonso's free-flowing side have all the weaponry required to score at least twice at Stade Roudourou. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawBayer Leverkusen
27.22% (-0.02 -0.02) 24.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 48.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (0.025999999999996 0.03)45.71% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (0.023 0.02)68.03% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.74% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)18.91% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)50.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brest 27.22%
    Bayer Leverkusen 48.56%
    Draw 24.21%
BrestDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 27.22%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 48.56%

How you voted: Brest vs B. Leverkusen

Brest
9.1%
Draw
12.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
78.8%
307
rhs 2.0
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