Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 25, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Kopavogsvollur

Breidablik
0 - 2
Copenhagen

(Copenhagen win 8-3 on aggregate)

Ingvarsson (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Larsson (1'), Falk (32')
Bergmann Johannesson (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Breidablik and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Breidablik

Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League

Copenhagen

All competitions

Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 1-2 Copenhagen
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Breidablik 0-1 Copenhagen

Breidablik will be reminiscing about their victory against Rosenborg at this stage 12 years ago, but we expect Copenhagen to keep them at arm's length for the majority of the contest. However, the Danes have not been great travellers in this competition down the years, and they may have to wait until the reverse leg to completely wrap up this tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
Breidablik	Draw	Copenhagen
22.56% ( 0.07)	22.99% ( 0.02)	54.44% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

-0)

44.55% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

-0)

66.92% (

Breidablik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.25% (

0.06)

33.75% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.59% (

0.07)

70.41% (

-0.07)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-0.03)

16.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

-0.06)

45.82% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Breidablik 22.56%

Copenhagen 54.44%

Draw 22.99%

Breidablik	Draw	Copenhagen
1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.56%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 54.44%