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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Kopavogsvollur
Shamrock Rovers

Breidablik
2 - 1
Shamrock

Svanthorsson (16'), Gunnlaugsson (57')
Karl Einarsson (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burke (65' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Breidablik and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: Breidablik 1-1 Shamrock Rovers (Breidablik to win 2-1 on aggregate)

After coming up short in the first leg, we expect Shamrock Rovers to produce a battling performance in Iceland, but with just two wins from their last 14 European away games, we think that they will be held to a draw, which would secure Breidablik a place in the second qualifying round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
BreidablikDrawShamrock Rovers
29.51% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 45.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88%69.11% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.11%
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 29.51%
    Shamrock Rovers 45.68%
    Draw 24.8%
BreidablikDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.51%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.68%

How you voted: Breidablik vs Shamrock

Breidablik
57.9%
Draw
10.5%
Shamrock Rovers
31.6%
38
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Shamrock
0-1
Breidablik

Poom (87'), O'Neil (90+4')
Muminovic (39')
rhs 2.0
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