Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Groupama Arena
Ferencvaros5 - 0New Saints
FT(HT: 3-0)
Williams (50')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-2 West Ham
Monday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Monday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Decic 1-1 New Saints
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Ferencvaros 4-1 The New Saints
Although The New Saints have a few more run-outs under their belts, Ferencvaros should be able to shake off any rust in time to ensure a commanding lead ahead of next week's second leg. With home advantage and a squad full of experienced pros at continental level, Fradi are set to all but book their place in the third qualifying round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 58.16%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | The New Saints |
58.16% ( 0.28) | 20.61% ( 0) | 21.23% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( -0.41) | 35.15% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( -0.46) | 57.16% ( 0.45) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% ( -0.05) | 11.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0.11) | 37.35% ( 0.11) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.49) | 29.65% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.3% ( -0.59) | 65.69% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros 58.16%
The New Saints 21.23%
Draw 20.61%
| Ferencvaros | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.23% |
How you voted: Ferencvaros vs New Saints
Ferencvaros
82.0%Draw
6.6%The New Saints
11.5%61
Form Guide
