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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Rakow

Flora
0 - 3
Rakow


Seppik (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zwolinski (47', 59'), Papanikolaou (85')
Svarnas (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Flora and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flora

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Flora
Tuesday, July 11 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Rakow Czestochowa

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Flora
Tuesday, July 11 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Flora 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa (Rakow win 3-1 on aggregate)

 Though Rakow were dominant during the first leg, they failed to fully capitalise on their supremacy and still have work to do in Tuesday's return. Nonetheless, they can control events in Tallinn too, and another win would seal progress to the second qualifying stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
FloraDrawRakow Czestochowa
38.22%26%35.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79%50.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83%72.17% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Flora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4%60.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.46% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Flora 38.22%
    Rakow Czestochowa 35.77%
    Draw 26%
FloraDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.22%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.77%

How you voted: Flora vs Rakow

Flora
36.2%
Draw
14.9%
Rakow Czestochowa
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Rakow
1-0
Flora
Kochergin (54')
Piasecki (29')

Alliku (22'), Ojamaa (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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