MX23RW : Monday, January 27 12:45:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Leeds logo

Burnley
vs.
Leeds

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-5 Burnley
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We say: Burnley 1-1 Leeds United

Both teams are in fantastic form heading into this one - the hosts unbeaten in 16 and the visitors undefeated in 11 - leading us to expect an extremely tight affair that we believe will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 28.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
28.14% (-0.969 -0.97) 25.75% (-0.277 -0.28) 46.11% (1.247 1.25)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (0.623 0.62)51.56% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64% (0.54 0.54)73.35% (-0.539 -0.54)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.404 -0.4)32.88% (0.405 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.453 -0.45)69.45% (0.45299999999999 0.45)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.84700000000001 0.85)22.34% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (1.253 1.25)55.82% (-1.252 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.14%
    Leeds United 46.1%
    Draw 25.74%
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.113 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.1%

Who will win Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Leeds?

Burnley
Draw
Leeds United
Burnley
32.9%
Draw
26.6%
Leeds United
40.5%
79
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-1
Burnley

Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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