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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 28.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Leeds United |
28.14% ( -0.97) | 25.75% ( -0.28) | 46.11% ( 1.25) |
Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% ( 0.62) | 51.56% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.64% ( 0.54) | 73.35% ( -0.54) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0.4) | 32.88% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.54% ( -0.45) | 69.45% ( 0.45) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% ( 0.85) | 22.34% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% ( 1.25) | 55.82% ( -1.25) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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