MX23RW : Monday, March 10 09:02:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Burnley logo
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Leeds logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Leeds

FT

Solomon (31'), James (60'), Bogle (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-5 Burnley
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Leeds United

Both teams are in fantastic form heading into this one - the hosts unbeaten in 16 and the visitors undefeated in 11 - leading us to expect an extremely tight affair that we believe will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
28.14% (-0.969 -0.97) 25.75% (-0.277 -0.28) 46.11% (1.247 1.25)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (0.623 0.62)51.56% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64% (0.54 0.54)73.35% (-0.539 -0.54)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.404 -0.4)32.88% (0.405 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.453 -0.45)69.45% (0.45299999999999 0.45)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.84700000000001 0.85)22.34% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (1.253 1.25)55.82% (-1.252 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.14%
    Leeds United 46.1%
    Draw 25.74%
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.113 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.1%

How you voted: Burnley vs Leeds

Burnley
34.6%
Draw
27.8%
Leeds United
37.6%
133
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-1
Burnley

Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!