La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 1Celta Vigo
We said: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo
Celta have really struggled on their travels this season, losing seven of their nine matches, but Alaves have been unconvincing at home for most of the campaign, and we are expecting a tight match to finish level on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
34.64% ( -1.05) | 27.58% ( 0.08) | 37.78% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% ( -0.38) | 56.74% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( -0.3) | 77.69% ( 0.31) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0.86) | 30.97% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.73% ( -1.01) | 67.28% ( 1.02) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.4) | 29.03% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.07% ( 0.49) | 64.93% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 34.63%
Celta Vigo 37.78%
Draw 27.58%
| Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.78% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo
Alaves
44.8%Draw
28.4%Celta Vigo
26.9%67
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Form Guide
