MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:02:58| >> :120:23186:23186:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Aukstaitijos stadionas
HJK logo

Panevezys
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Veliulis (17'), Gorobsov (65' pen.), Mbo (67')
Rasimavicius (57'), Dieng (58'), Mbo (88'), Gorobsov (90')
Dieng (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kanellopoulos (55'), Lyons-Foster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Panevezys and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Panevezys 1-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ilves 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Panevezys 1-2 HJK Helsinki

HJK have not won a European away game since beating Maribor in Europa League qualifying in August 2022, but we think that winless run will come to an end when they face a Panevezys side who will be low on confidence after losing four of their previous six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
PanevezysDrawHJK Helsinki
29.32% (-0.105 -0.11) 27.25% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 43.42% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (0.165 0.16)56.82% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.133 0.13)77.75% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Panevezys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.161 0.16)25.95% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.217 0.22)60.96% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Panevezys 29.32%
    HJK Helsinki 43.42%
    Draw 27.25%
PanevezysDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 12.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.42%

How you voted: Panevezys vs HJK Helsinki

Panevezys
16.9%
Draw
11.9%
HJK Helsinki
71.2%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!