Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Aukstaitijos stadionas
Panevezys3 - 0HJK Helsinki
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panevezys 1-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ilves 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, July 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Panevezys 1-2 HJK Helsinki
HJK have not won a European away game since beating Maribor in Europa League qualifying in August 2022, but we think that winless run will come to an end when they face a Panevezys side who will be low on confidence after losing four of their previous six matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panevezys | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
29.32% ( -0.11) | 27.25% ( -0.06) | 43.42% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.18% ( 0.16) | 56.82% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.25% ( 0.13) | 77.75% ( -0.13) |
| Panevezys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.01) | 34.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.52% ( 0.01) | 71.48% ( -0.01) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.16) | 25.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.04% ( 0.22) | 60.96% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Panevezys 29.32%
HJK Helsinki 43.42%
Draw 27.25%
| Panevezys | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.42% |
How you voted: Panevezys vs HJK Helsinki
Panevezys
16.9%Draw
11.9%HJK Helsinki
71.2%59
Form Guide
