Petrocub1 - 0Ordabasy
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Petrocub Hincesti 1-0 Ordabasy (Petrocub Hincesti win 1-0 on aggregate)
After last week's cagey first leg, we anticipate another tight contest on Wednesday, which could be decided by a single goal. With confidence after holding their opponents away from home, Petrocub Hincesti may come in with a slight edge, and we back them to make home advantage count and progress to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Ordabasy had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Ordabasy win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Petrocub Hincesti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ordabasy |
37.03% ( 0.53) | 27.67% ( 0.11) | 35.3% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0.43) | 57.02% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.08% ( -0.34) | 77.92% ( 0.34) |
| Petrocub Hincesti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( 0.12) | 29.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.34% ( 0.14) | 65.65% ( -0.14) |
| Ordabasy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.62) | 30.69% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.73) | 66.95% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Petrocub Hincesti | Draw | Ordabasy |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.29% |
