Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
The Match
Match Report
Kylian Mbappe scores a hat-trick as Real Madrid beat Manchester City 3-1 in the second leg of their Champions League knockout round playoff to breeze into the next stage of the competition.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League playoff second leg with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Newcastle
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
52
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Manchester City |
55.18% ( -0.51) | 20.02% ( 0.04) | 24.79% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 69.2% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.16% ( 0.31) | 27.84% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.45% ( 0.39) | 48.54% ( -0.39) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.57% ( -0.03) | 10.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66% ( -0.07) | 34% ( 0.07) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.5) | 22.74% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.58% ( 0.73) | 56.41% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 55.18%
Manchester City 24.79%
Draw 20.02%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.79% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Man City
Real Madrid
57.5%Draw
16.2%Manchester City
26.3%463
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 8pm
Apr 17, 2024 8pm
May 17, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Man City
4-0
Real Madrid
May 9, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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