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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Atletico

Mbappe (50')
Ceballos (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alvarez (35' pen.)
Lenglet (45+4'), Galan (49'), Sorloth (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe cancels out a controversial penalty from Julian Alvarez, as Real Madrid come from a goal behind to draw 1-1 with Atletico Madrid in La Liga on Saturday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with rivals Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 5-0 Getafe
Tuesday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
49.43% (4.771 4.77) 22.37% (-0.846 -0.85) 28.19% (-3.929 -3.93)
Both teams to score 63.65% (0.608 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.57% (1.84 1.84)36.42% (-1.844 -1.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.44% (1.983 1.98)58.56% (-1.986 -1.99)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (2.463 2.46)15.08% (-2.468 -2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.38% (4.468 4.47)43.61% (-4.471 -4.47)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-1.505 -1.51)25.04% (1.502 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-2.13 -2.13)59.71% (2.126 2.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 49.43%
    Atletico Madrid 28.19%
    Draw 22.37%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.309 0.31)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.503 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.651 0.65)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.633 0.63)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.289 0.29)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.506 0.51)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.436 0.44)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.28 0.28)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.261 0.26)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 49.43%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.498 -0.5)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.78% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.671 -0.67)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.745 -0.75)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.701 -0.7)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.465 -0.47)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.413 -0.41)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atletico

Real Madrid
53.9%
Draw
25.6%
Atletico Madrid
20.5%
219
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Correa (90+6')
Le Normand (63'), Gallagher (70'), Alvarez (75')
Llorente (90+9')
Militao (64')
Modric (40')
> Match Report
Feb 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico
Diaz (20')
Llorente (90+3')
Niguez (37'), Hermoso (38'), Barrios (85'), Depay (90+5')
> Match Report
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
4-2
Real Madrid
Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')
> Preview
Jan 10, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
5-3
Atletico
Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')
Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)
> Match Report
Sep 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
3-1
Real Madrid
Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')
Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416
> La Liga Full Table


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