Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 27.66% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.45%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
49.37% ( 0.07) | 22.97% ( -0.02) | 27.66% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 61.06% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% ( 0.05) | 39.65% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% ( 0.05) | 62% ( -0.05) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.71% ( 0.04) | 16.29% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.14% ( 0.08) | 45.85% ( -0.08) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% ( -0.01) | 27.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% ( -0.01) | 62.43% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.37% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 45 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
8 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 29 |
10 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 19 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |