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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Madrid
vs.
Atletico

Coverage of the La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Next Game: Leganes vs. Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Next Game: Atletico vs. Getafe
Tuesday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 27.66% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.45%).

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
49.37% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 22.97% (-0.02 -0.02) 27.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)39.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38% (0.053000000000004 0.05)62% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)16.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)45.85% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)27.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)62.43% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 49.37%
    Atletico Madrid 27.66%
    Draw 22.96%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 49.37%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Correa (90+6')
Le Normand (63'), Gallagher (70'), Alvarez (75')
Llorente (90+9')
Militao (64')
Modric (40')
Feb 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico
Diaz (20')
Llorente (90+3')
Niguez (37'), Hermoso (38'), Barrios (85'), Depay (90+5')
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
4-2
Real Madrid
Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')
Jan 10, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
5-3
Atletico
Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')
Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)
Sep 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
3-1
Real Madrid
Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')
Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona22143560243645
4Athletic Bilbao22118333201341
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Osasuna227962731-430
8Mallorca2293101928-930
9Real BetisBetis227872528-329
10GironaGirona218492929028
11Real Sociedad2284101819-128
12Sevilla227782430-628
13Celta Vigo2274113135-425
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2256112534-921
19Valencia2247112237-1519
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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