Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City2 - 3Real Madrid
Reaction
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The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League playoff first leg with Real Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League playoff first leg against Real Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Man City
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
51
We said: Manchester City 2-2 Real Madrid
The less said about Man City's display at Leyton Orient the better, but Guardiola inevitably made a surfeit of changes, and the champions of England have rediscovered a knack for goals - and indeed victories - on their Etihad turf recently. The hosts' offensive exploits on their own patch spells trouble for Real Madrid and their decimated defence, but Ancelotti's men never know when they are beaten in Europe, and we expect the holders to return home the happier after an entertaining first-leg draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
48.09% ( -0.01) | 22.87% ( 0) | 29.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0) | 38.25% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( -0) | 60.53% ( 0) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0) | 16.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.25% ( -0.01) | 45.75% ( 0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0) | 25.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.75% | 60.24% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester City 48.09%
Real Madrid 29.03%
Draw 22.87%
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.03% |
How you voted: Man City vs Real Madrid
Manchester City
32.3%Draw
22.2%Real Madrid
45.5%572
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 8pm
May 17, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Man City
4-0
Real Madrid
May 9, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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