Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Derby County |
38.74% | 25.61% | 35.64% |
Both teams to score 55.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.47% | 48.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.34% | 70.65% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.36% | 24.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.85% | 59.15% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% | 26.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% | 61.51% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |