Championship | Gameweek 46
Jul 22, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham1 - 3Derby
The Match
Match Report
Jude Bellingham played his last game for the Blues.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Derby County |
| 38.74% | 25.61% | 35.64% |
| Both teams to score 55.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% | 48.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% | 70.65% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% | 24.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.85% | 59.15% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.64% | 26.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.49% | 61.51% |
| Score Analysis |
Birmingham City 38.74%
Derby County 35.64%
Draw 25.61%
| Birmingham City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.64% |
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Derby
3-1
Birmingham
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
