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Championship | Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
The Hawthorns
Derby logo

West Brom
2 - 0
Derby

Diangana (11'), O'Shea (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shinnie (24'), Whittaker (45+4'), Knight (73'), Bogle (88')

The Match

Match Report

West Brom are two points clear of Leeds at the top of the Sky Bet Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawDerby County
56.1%22.49%21.41%
Both teams to score 55.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.3%43.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.91%66.09%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78%44.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95%71.05%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 56.1%
    Derby County 21.41%
    Draw 22.48%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.1%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 5.29%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.66%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.41%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Derby
1-1
West Brom
Waghorn (6' pen.)
Lawrence (90')
Zohore (84' pen.)
Ferguson (37')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
1-4
Derby
Rodriguez (83')
Dawson (25')
Marriott (10'), Lawrence (15'), Wilson (51'), Malone (71')
Huddlestone (44'), Malone (72')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
West Brom
1-2
Derby
Phillips (35')
Morrison (53')
Bent (51'), Ince (54')
Johnson (92'), Ince (95')
Jul 27, 2013 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Derby
0-2
West Brom
Dorrans (39'), Rosenberg (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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